The 1951 Refugee Convention was drafted, in part, as a response to the failure of states to provide refuge to people fleeing persecution at the hands of Nazi Germany.
But around the world, governments are increasingly turning away from the protections set out in the Refugee Convention by implementing measures aimed at deterring asylum seekers and denying them access to those protections.
States increasingly share a common policy goal: to keep unwanted irregular migrants and asylum seekers away from their territories. However, the obligations enshrined in the Refugee Convention set limits to their endeavours. When a state succeeds in developing a policy, which meets the political goal of deterrence without blatantly violating the Refugee Convention, others are quick to adopt this approach.
Asylum policy making is also interdependent. That is to say that changes in the policy settings of one state, have ramifications for other states. At the most direct level, when an asylum seeker is blocked from entering a country, they are pushed back into another state. At a more indirect level, the implementation of a restrictive asylum policy in one state, may lead to an increase in asylum flows in another state. In this competitive environment, governments keep a close eye on what other states are doing, and adjust their policies accordingly.
1. Historical Transfers
This competitive environment, and the resulting legal transfers of restrictive immigration policies is nothing new. States have been monitoring and copying border control polices for as long as they have been trying to exclude certain migrants from their territories. One of the first examples of this was the spread of race-based immigration control measures across the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa in the late 19th and early 20th century.
The first set of laws of this kind targeted Chinese immigrants in the 19th century. These measures included landing taxes on arrivals and passenger per ship restrictions, which limited the number of Chinese immigrants that ships were allowed to carry based on a proportion of the vessel’s tonnage. By 1885, all six British colonies of which Australia was made up,
Around the turn of the 20th century, race-based restrictions expanded to cover other “non-white” immigrants. One of the key tools that emerged during this period was the literacy or dictation test, which required immigrants to fill out forms or read and write in a specific language. The benefit of this approach was that states could claim they were not targeting or overtly discriminating against certain nationalities, but the flexibility of the test and the way it was administered allowed them to do exactly that.
The origins of the literacy test can be traced back to the southern states of the United States that used the tool to disenfranchise black voters in the 1890s.
2. Contemporary Transfers
Today, we see a similar dynamic playing out with the spread of restrictive asylum policies around the world. One example is the so-called Australian model, that is Australia’s practices of intercepting and turning back boats with asylum seekers on board at sea and offshore processing. When Australia cannot safely turn back a boat, it transfers the asylum seekers to Nauru (and formerly to Papua New Guinea), where their asylum claims are assessed. Refugees are warehoused at these locations with no prospect of permanently settling in Australia.
However, this supposedly ‘Australian model’ has its origins in the United States. The US government has intercepted and pushed-back migrant boats at sea since 1981 and has used Guantanamo Bay in Cuba as an offshore processing centre for asylum seekers since 1991. Australia directly drew on the US example when developing its offshore processing and boat push-back policies in 2001.
Now there are growing calls in various European states to adopt the ‘Australian Model’.
You have to look no further than Australia's experience to see the harm that can be caused by offshore processing. During its time providing mental health support to refugees and asylum seekers Australia had sent to Nauru, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) reported unprecedented levels of trauma – which the organisation had not even observed in the war zones they work in.
Holding people indefinitely in offshore detention centres, like Australia has in Nauru and Papua New Guinea, is not sustainable, as host countries are generally not open to granting permanent settlement. Papua New Guinea had initially said that it would allow people to stay there permanently, much the same as what Rwanda is now offering as part of the UK Ruanda deal. But Papua New Guinea changed its position, once it realised the political implications on the ground, and a substantial share of the individuals were later transferred to Australia.
The financial costs of these policies are highly disproportionate, with Australia regularly spending upwards of $1 billion a year to deal with a small number of refugees (as of 31 October 2023, a total of 4,194 asylum seekers have been transferred offshore since 2012).
The further spread of offshore processing will substantially weaken the international refugee protection regime. The risk is that we will see a race to the bottom, as countries compete to deter asylum seekers. As most countries are currently competing to deter asylum seekers, there could be a race to the bottom of increasingly restrictive policies. When devising asylum policies, governments weigh up their competitiveness in deterring unwanted irregular immigration against the value of abiding by their obligations under international law. As more states opt for deterrence over protection, this places pressure on other states to do the same. This scenario has – and will continue to have – a devastating impact on the ability of those in danger to reach safety.
3. Conclusion
The effectiveness of the Refugee Convention and the protection provisions laid down in other human rights conventions is determined by the actions of states. Implementing international law requires leadership – it needs states to lead by example to persuade other states to protect refugees. If more and more states – especially wealthy liberal democracies that have the resources required for the task – refuse to take on this leadership role, it will lead to the erosion of the universal principle of asylum and the refugee protection regime more broadly. What this means in practice, is that more asylum seekers will be placed in the same predicament as those aboard the SS St Louis, adrift at sea, with nowhere to seek refuge.