Japan’s shortage of qualified workers is particularly evident in the elder care sector. A growing demand for professional care has correlated with a decline in new workers entering the profession. Consequently, since the mid-2000s, Japan, which is one of the countries with the most restrictive immigration laws among liberal democracies, has been gradually opening its borders to international care workers. What are the societal and economic reasons behind this policy reform, and what role do international care workers play in Japan today?
Demographic change in full swing
In the three main demographic variables – fertility, mortality, mobility – Japan exhibits extreme values that favor aging and a decline in the overall population. By 2040, more than one in three people living in the country (34.8 percent) will be a senior citizen.
At a glance: Demographic characteristics of Japan
The birth rate (fertility) in Japan stands at 1.30 children per woman, the life expectancy is 86.3 years for women and 79.6 years for men (born 2021).
The median age has increased from 40.7 to 49.1 years between 2000 and 2023.
In 2021, there were 2.76 million persons residing in Japan without Japanese citizenship; this represents only 2.2 percent of the total population (of more than 125 million) and is of little significance for the demographic development of the country.
By comparison, Germany:
In Germany, the birth rate, in 2022, stood at 1.46 children per woman.
Fußnoten
-
NIPSSR, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (2023), Jinkō tōkei shiryōshū (Materials on Population Statistics), Externer Link: https://www.ipss.go.jp/syoushika/tohkei/Popular/Popular2023RE.asp?chap=0 (accessed on July 23, 2023).
-
Database.earth (2023), Median Age by Country in 2023, Externer Link: https://database.earth/population/median-age/2023 (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Jozuka, Emiko; Jessie Yeung and Junko Fukutome (2023), Japan’s population fell by 800,000 last year as demographic crisis accelerates, CNN, July 27, Externer Link: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/27/asia/japan-population-drop-2022-intl-hnk/index.html (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
NIPSSR, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (2023), Jinkō tōkei shiryōshū (Materials on Population Statistics), Externer Link: https://www.ipss.go.jp/syoushika/tohkei/Popular/Popular2023RE.asp?chap=0 (accessed on July 23, 2023).
-
Statistisches Bundesamt (2023), Zusammengefasste Geburtenziffer nach Kalenderjahren (Combined fertility rate by calender year), Externer Link: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Geburten/Tabellen/geburtenziffer.html (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Statistisches Bundesamt (2023), Lebenserwartung während der Pandemie um 0,6 Jahre gesunken (Life expectancy fell by 0.6 years during the pandemic), Pressemitteilung Nr. 293 vom 25. Juli, Externer Link: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2023/07/PD23_293_12621.html (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Externer Link: https://database.earth/population/germany/median-age (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Statistisches Bundesamt (2011), Statistisches Jahrbuch 2011 (Statistical yearbook 2011), Externer Link: https://www.statistischebibliothek.de/mir/servlets/MCRFileNodeServlet/DEAusgabe_derivate_00000135/1010110117004.pdf (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Statistisches Bundesamt (2023), Bevölkerung nach Nationalität und Geschlecht (Quartalszahlen) (Population by nationality and gender (quarter data)), Externer Link: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Bevoelkerungsstand/Tabellen/liste-zensus-geschlecht-staatsangehoerigkeit.html#616584 (accessed on August 24, 2023).
Labor shortages in the care sector and political strategies for tackling the issue
Even today, 61.3 percent of care professionals in Japan say that they are dissatisfied with their profession. The most common reasons given for this dissatisfaction include low wages and the physical and mental stress of the profession.
Bilateral agreements as the starting point for the immigration of international care professionals
The bilateral agreements that Japan signed with Indonesia (2008), the Philippines (2009), and Vietnam (2014) – known as the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPA) – mark the beginning of a new strategy for dealing with the growing demand for care professionals, as well as a paradigm shift in Japan’s immigration policies. It was the first time that the Japanese labor market opened up to migrant workers who were not considered “highly skilled” in the strictest sense. However, this path to legal migration, the design of which is similar to Germany’s Triple Win Program (TWP),
What is the Triple Win Program?
The Triple Win Program was launched in 2013 with the aim to recruit foreign care workers for the German labor market. It is intended to alleviate the shortage of care workers in Germany. The program is administered by the German Development Cooperation (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit, GIZ) and the International Placement Services (Zentrale Auslands- und Fachvermittlung, ZAV) of the German Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit, BA). The care workers come to Germany under the framework of placement agreements that have been concluded between the BA and the employment agencies in the countries of origin. To date, such agreements exist with Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Philippines, Tunisia, Indonesia, the Indian state of Kerala, with Jordan as well as with Vietnam, from where, however, only care worker trainees are recruited (as of August 2023).
According to a study conducted by the Competence Center for Securing Skilled Workers (Kompetenzzentrum Fachkräftesicherung, KOFA), in 2020/21, Germany experienced a shortage of more than 17,000 skilled workers in elderly care and 14,000 skilled workers in healthcare and nursing.
Fußnoten
-
Bundesagentur für Arbeit, Programm Triple Win (Triple Win Program), Externer Link: https://www.arbeitsagentur.de/vor-ort/zav/projects-programs/health-and-care/triple-win (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Deutscher Bundestag, Drucksache 20/7861 vom 26.07.2023: Antwort der Bundesregierung auf die Kleine Anfrage des Abgeordneten Stephan Brandner und der Fraktion der AfD – Drucksache 20/7453 (Circular 20/7861, 26 July 2023: Response of national government to inquiry by Member of Parliament Stephan Brandner and Parliamentary Group AfD – circular 20/7453), Externer Link: https://dip.bundestag.de/drucksache/auf-die-kleine-anfrage-drucksache-20-7453-anwerbung-ausl%C3%A4ndischer-pflegekr%C3%A4fte/268960?term=Triple%20Win&f.wahlperiode=20&rows=25&pos=3 (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Syda, Susanne; Robert Köppen and Helen Hickmann (2021), Pflegeberufe besonders vom Fachkräftemangel betroffen (Care professions particularly suffer from shortage of skilled workers), KOFA Kompakt 10/2021, Externer Link: https://www.kofa.de/media/Publikationen/KOFA_Kompakt/Pflegeberufe_2021.pdf (accessed on August 24, 2023).
-
Informationsdienst des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft (iwd) (2018), Pfleger, bitte kommen! (Care workers, please come!), October 10, Externer Link: https://www.iwd.de/artikel/pfleger-bitte-kommen-402971/ (accessed on August 24, 2023).
The numerous uncertainties that the EPA immigration route entails for both the international care workers and their employers in Japan are the primary reason for these low numbers. Among these uncertainties, the national exam that the care workers have to take in Japanese after a maximum of four years working in Japan, despite already having been educated in their home countries, is a particular challenge. Only after passing this exam, the care facility managers may consider the international care workers as certified personnel with long-term prospects in the staffing roster.
New immigration routes for international care workers in the Abe era
Beyond the EPA immigration route, policy reforms enacted during Prime Minister Shinzō Abe’s (2006-07, 2012-20) second term created new opportunities for the migration of international care workers. These reforms were part of the prime minister’s “Abenomics” campaign of labor market restructuring intended to revitalize the economy and counteract the shortage of skilled workers.
In 2017, the migration system for international interns was restructured – since then, it has also included care workers.
Care professions are also listed as a target group alongside other sectors impacted by the shortage of skilled labor in the Specified Skilled Workers (SSW) program of 2019. Within the first five years that the program was in operation, 60,000 international care professionals were supposed to be given the opportunity to receive on-the-job training in Japan, with the prospect of eventually qualifying for the work-related kaigo (care worker) residence permit, which was introduced in 2016. This residence permit would have afforded them the possibility to live and work in Japan long term. As of June 2022, 5,339 people have received the new residence permit, some of whom transferred over from the EPA immigration path.
The country’s nursing schools, which are largely privately owned, start the process one step earlier: They recruit trainees from neighboring countries, given the declining domestic demand for these traineeships and the corresponding economic pressure the schools face as a result. While just three percent of newly registered trainees came from abroad in 2016, that percentage rose to its highest level ever – 34 percent, or 2,395 people – by 2020. In 2022, that figure was 28 percent.
Conclusion
A look at the immigration of care workers to Japan reveals a major gap between the demographic and economic necessity of expanding the pool of care workers on the one hand and the immigration policies that are only moderately effective in responding to this demand on the other. Nearly two decades since the implementation of the EPA migration route, its minimal effectiveness is now obvious to all stakeholders in politics and business. Newer initiatives focus on recruiting less qualified personnel and nursing students. This diversification of the country’s paths to migration certainly seems necessary. However, the international immigration of care workers in this fashion cannot be the only strategy to effectively counteract the current labor shortage in the care sector.